Frozen service-market profile

CARMICHAEL WATER DISTRICT

43.081Final MISI · 0–100

Fragile

September 27, 2026 · v0.1.2

0.9750Score confidence

Recorded trajectory

127 recorded observations, 2026-03-24–2026-09-27. Version labels are retained; methodology changes may affect comparisons.

Recent recorded observations

Date	MISI	Band	Confidence	Version
2026-09-27	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-26	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-25	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-23	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-22	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-21	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-20	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-19	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-18	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-17	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-16	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-15	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2

Read all 127 recorded observations

Date	MISI	Band	Confidence	Version
2026-09-27	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-26	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-25	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-23	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-22	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-21	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-20	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-19	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-18	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-17	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-16	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-15	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-14	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-13	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-12	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-10	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-09	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-07	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-06	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-05	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-04	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-02	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-09-01	43.081	Fragile	0.9750	v0.1.2
2026-08-31	43.081	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-28	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-27	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-26	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-25	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-24	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-23	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-22	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-20	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-18	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-17	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-16	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-15	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-10	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-09	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-08	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-03	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-02	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-08-01	39.561	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-31	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-30	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-29	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-23	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-22	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-21	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-20	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-19	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-18	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-17	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-16	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-14	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-13	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-12	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-11	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-10	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-09	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-08	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-07	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-06	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-05	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-04	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-03	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-02	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-07-01	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-30	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-29	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-28	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-23	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-22	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-16	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-15	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-14	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-12	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-11	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-08	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-02	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-06-01	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-31	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-28	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-26	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-24	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-22	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-21	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-19	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-17	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-10	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-09	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-08	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-07	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-06	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-05	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-04	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-03	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-02	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-05-01	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-30	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-29	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-28	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-27	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-26	42.481	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-26	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-25	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-24	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-23	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-22	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-21	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-19	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-18	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-14	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-13	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-10	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-09	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-08	43.000	Fragile	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-07	37.000	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-06	37.000	Watch	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-05	14.000	Stable	0.8417	v0.1.2
2026-04-05	14.000	Stable	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-04	14.000	Stable	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-03	14.000	Stable	0.9675	v0.1.2
2026-04-03	14.000	Stable	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-04-02	14.000	Stable	0.9675	v0.1.1
2026-03-29	14.000	Stable	0.8635	v0.1.1
2026-03-25	14.000	Stable	0.8635	v0.1.2
2026-03-24	6.000	Stable	0.7855	v0.1.1

Highest contributing final factors

Factor	Family	Points
Compliance Escalation	Operational Stress	9.882
Infrastructure Capital Gap	Capex Pressure	7.492
Climate Hazard Exposure	Operational Stress	7.198
PFAS Contamination Risk	Capex Pressure	5.998
Lead & Copper Rule Risk	Capex Pressure	4.997
High-AGI Out-Migration	Revenue Fragility	3.994
Housing Market Weakness	Revenue Fragility	3.520

Peer and provenance context

Recorded peer cohort: drinking_water::community_water_system::25k_to_100k::surface_water. Percentile: 93.869. The PUBLIC export preserves source runs and vintages at source-family level, but does not include a direct per-factor raw-record citation for this profile. Review source context.

Stable archive identifier: service market 1612; slug ca-carmichael-water-district.