Munimetric Water System Profile

Chicago, IL

Drinking Water Infrastructure Profile

Munimetric drinking water infrastructure profile for Chicago, IL, Illinois, including MISI stress score, active signals, fiscal pressure, and peer comparison. This profile highlights what is happening and why it matters using water-system, fiscal, capital, and signal context.

Chicago, IL has a MISI infrastructure stress score of 46.1/100 in the Fragile band as of 2026-05-19. Public records show surface-water sourcing, PFAS monitoring context, lead and copper compliance context and approximately 2,746,388 residents served. Updated May 2026.

FragileScore date May 19, 2026Methodology v0.1.2

State context

Current market shown in covered state context. Tile size reflects population served; color reflects stress band.

46.1Headline composite
FragileBand
97%Confidence
~2.7MPop. served
P89Peer percentile
10Active signals

Current headline composite

Component of current headline composite

Infrastructure Stress35.9 / 100

Physical, compliance, and capital-execution pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Socioeconomic Stress10.2 / 100

Affordability, demand-base, and parent-government fiscal pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Observability Stress0.0 / 100

Staleness, disclosure freshness, and reporting-visibility effects reflected in the blended headline composite.

46.1/100 headline compositeFragile97% confidencedrinking_water::community_water_system::250k_plus::surface_water~2.7M people served

Track

Chicago, IL Infrastructure Track

Portfolio posture across schedule and budget risk. · 18 active projects.

Market scope
Total capital$96M
On-time rate
100%
Budget risk
65%
Delayed0%
Sch. variance0d

Funding mix

18 projectsTracked capital: $96,320,498

  • Funding mix unavailable

Monitoring context stored

Water Quality & Supply Context

Public-record context for this system. Stored monitoring and compliance records only. Does not change MISI.

Public records
Records presentILPWSID IL0316000.
Recent violations
111 records103 MRLead and Copper Rule Revisions, Public Notice Rule and Revised PN Rule +3
Enforcement records
158 recordsStored public enforcement rows.
PFAS monitoring records
No listed detectionsUCMRStored PFAS monitoring records list 240 samples and 0 detections.
Lead/copper monitoring records
Records stored20 samplesStored lead/copper records list 0 open LCR violations and 0 action-level records.
Source / supply context
Surface waterIdentity2,746,388 served; Dec 31, 2025.

Tier 1 profile guide

How to interpret Chicago, IL

Plain-language summary

Chicago, IL is part of the selected Tier 1 profile set. This page is designed to quickly explain what the MISI headline composite means here. In v0.1.2, the headline composite remains a blended structural stress measure rather than a pure physical-condition index. A frozen national reference and a 50 percent single-factor cap reduce the dominance of near-universal and very rare factors, while the component bars continue to separate infrastructure, socioeconomic, and observability readings.

Why this page stands out

What to do next

Executive context

What the Data Suggests

Chicago, IL's public water system serves roughly 2.7 million residents, placing it among the larger community systems in this coverage set. The current reading places the system in a zone of moderate-to-elevated stress that goes beyond normal operating variation.

The score is being driven mainly by Capex Pressure, which is at the top of its range in the model, with Operational Stress adding another heavy layer of pressure. That combination suggests strain is showing up across core system functions, not just one isolated dimension.

7 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 4 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.

Within Community · 250k+ · Surface, this system ranks around the 89th percentile on measured stress, placing it among the more stressed systems in its peer group.

Recent observations suggest the system has been relatively steady rather than sharply improving or deteriorating — the current picture looks more like persistent underlying pressure than a sudden shift.

This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.

Analytical posture

Market Stress Analytics

Family Contribution

MISI family contributions for this market.

Capex PressureCapex Pressure: 19.2 / 20.019.2Operational StressOperational Stress: 16.7 / 20.016.7Revenue FragilityRevenue Fragility: 10.2 / 20.010.2Rate ConstraintRate Constraint: 0.0 / 20.00.0Governance RiskGovernance Risk: 0.0 / 20.00.0

Peer Position

Where Chicago sits within its peer cohort.

0%25%50%75%100%46.1drinking_water::community_water_system::250k_plus::surface_water · 157 systems · 89th percentileLess stressMore stress
Income ErosionIncome Erosion: 15.2% weight — Available 15.2%Compliance EscalationCompliance Escalation: 9.1% weight — Available 9.1%Infrastructure Capit…Infrastructure Capital Gap: 9.1% weight — Available 9.1%Population Served De…Population Served Decline: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Housing Market Weakn…Housing Market Weakness: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Parent-Government Fi…Parent-Government Fiscal Stress: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Monitoring / Reporti…Monitoring / Reporting Failures: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Climate Hazard Expos…Climate Hazard Exposure: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Lead & Copper Rule R…Lead & Copper Rule Risk: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%PFAS Contamination R…PFAS Contamination Risk: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%SRF Dependence SpikeSRF Dependence Spike: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Utility Data StalenessUtility Data Staleness: 4.5% weight — Available 4.5%High-AGI Out-MigrationHigh-AGI Out-Migration: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%Formal Enforcement O…Formal Enforcement Obligations: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%Rapid Score Deterior…Rapid Score Deterioration: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%
AvailableMissing

Score History

Latest

46.1

Trend

+29.1

Observations

45

Mar 18, 2026 · 17.0Mar 20, 2026 · 17.0Mar 21, 2026 · 17.0Mar 22, 2026 · 17.0Mar 24, 2026 · 17.0Mar 25, 2026 · 29.0Mar 29, 2026 · 29.0Apr 2, 2026 · 29.0Apr 3, 2026 · 29.0Apr 3, 2026 · 29.0Apr 4, 2026 · 29.0Apr 5, 2026 · 29.0Apr 5, 2026 · 29.0Apr 6, 2026 · 49.0Apr 7, 2026 · 49.0Apr 8, 2026 · 49.0Apr 9, 2026 · 49.0Apr 10, 2026 · 49.0Apr 13, 2026 · 49.0Apr 14, 2026 · 49.0Apr 18, 2026 · 49.0Apr 19, 2026 · 49.0Apr 21, 2026 · 49.0Apr 22, 2026 · 49.0Apr 23, 2026 · 49.0Apr 24, 2026 · 49.0Apr 25, 2026 · 49.0Apr 26, 2026 · 46.1Apr 26, 2026 · 49.0Apr 27, 2026 · 46.1Apr 28, 2026 · 46.1Apr 29, 2026 · 46.1Apr 30, 2026 · 46.1May 1, 2026 · 46.1May 2, 2026 · 46.1May 3, 2026 · 46.1May 4, 2026 · 46.1May 5, 2026 · 46.1May 6, 2026 · 46.1May 7, 2026 · 46.1May 8, 2026 · 46.1May 9, 2026 · 46.1May 10, 2026 · 46.1May 17, 2026 · 46.1May 19, 2026 · 46.1Mar 18, 2026May 19, 2026

Structural Indicators

Operational Stress16.7 / 20.0

Operational Stress totals 16.717 points, led by climate hazard exposure.

Capex Pressure19.2 / 20.0

Capex Pressure totals 19.232 points, led by infrastructure capital gap.

Revenue Fragility10.2 / 20.0

Revenue Fragility totals 10.155 points, led by housing market weakness.

Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0

Rate Constraint totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Governance Risk0.0 / 20.0

Governance Risk totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Stress movement

Diagnostics

Diagnostics & Movement

Compact status for confidence, data coverage, disclosure freshness, and stored score movement. Detailed diagnostic history remains available below.

Confidence

97%

Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.

Factor coverage

Complete

All tracked confidence factors are currently available.

Disclosure freshness

Not available

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date.

Latest movement

flat 0.0

Compared with May 17, 2026.

Last material movement

-2.9

Recorded Apr 26, 2026.

History

45 observations stored

Latest stored observation May 19, 2026.

Show detailed diagnostic history

Expanded stress diagnostics

Open detailed contribution diagnostics

No detailed factor diagnostics are stored for this profile snapshot.

Confidence summary

Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.

Missing factor coverage

No factor gaps are recorded on the latest stored score.

Disclosure freshness diagnostics

0 attached local documents · 0 structured facts

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date.

Latest reference Not available · stale after Not available

Score movement

flat 0.0

Previous run May 17, 2026

May 19, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 17, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 10, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 9, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 8, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 7, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 6, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 5, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 4, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 3, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 2, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 1, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 30, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 29, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 28, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 27, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 26, 2026

Score 46.1 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run -2.9

Apr 26, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 25, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 24, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 23, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 22, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 21, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 19, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 18, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 14, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 13, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 10, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 9, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 8, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 7, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 6, 2026

Score 49.0 in band fragile. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 20.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 84%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 4, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 2, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 29, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 86%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 25, 2026

Score 29.0 in band watch. Confidence 86%.

Delta vs prior run 12.0

Mar 24, 2026

Score 17.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 22, 2026

Score 17.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 21, 2026

Score 17.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 20, 2026

Score 17.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 18, 2026

Score 17.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Signals

Signal Timeline

SignificantactiveNot availableRank #1

Signal
high agi outmigration
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #2

Signal
lead copper rule risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #3

Signal
climate hazard exposure
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #4

Signal
high agi outmigration
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #5

Signal
lead copper rule risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #6

Signal
climate hazard exposure
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #7

Signal
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #8

Signal
Housing Market Weakness
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #9

Signal
Monitoring and Reporting Failures
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #10

Signal
Compliance Escalation
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active

Keep monitoring this market

Briefs and workflow access cover repeat monitoring, saved work, exports, Track, and Munex workflows.

About Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL is a community drinking-water system in Illinois that Munimetric monitors for infrastructure stress. The current MISI score of 46.1 out of 100 places this system in the fragile stress band as of 2026-05-19. The MISI composite reflects five structural risk families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. Higher scores indicate more structural stress.

Data is assembled from EPA SDWA compliance records, American Community Survey demographic and economic indicators, FEMA National Risk Index hazard exposure data, state-reported financial disclosures, and stored public-record water quality context where available. This system serves approximately 2,746,388 people. The system has 111 recorded compliance violations in the SDWA record. Munimetric does not fabricate data where public records are unavailable. This profile is for structural monitoring and research—not a current-condition determination or credit rating. Updated May 2026.

What is the Munimetric score for Chicago, IL?
The current Munimetric Infrastructure Stress Index (MISI) score for Chicago, IL is 46.1 out of 100, placing this system in the fragile stress band. MISI is a composite of five structural risk families. Higher values indicate more stress. The score is deterministic, source-backed, and updated as new data becomes available.
Does Chicago, IL show signs of drinking-water infrastructure stress?
Munimetric monitors structural stress indicators for Chicago, IL across operational conditions, capital needs, revenue stability, rate affordability, and governance quality. The current MISI score and active signals shown in this profile reflect the latest available evidence from EPA, ACS, FEMA NRI, and state financial disclosures.
Does Munimetric rate current tap-water conditions for Chicago, IL?
No. Munimetric is not a water testing service and does not make current-condition determinations. This profile tracks structural conditions: compliance posture, financial pressure, infrastructure stress, and governance quality. For current water quality testing results, consult the system's Consumer Confidence Report or contact the local water utility.
Has Chicago, IL had a boil water advisory?
Munimetric does not track real-time boil water advisories. For current advisory status, contact your local water utility or state drinking water program. This profile tracks structural risk indicators and compliance history that provide long-term context around system reliability.
Are lead pipes or corrosion risk a concern in Chicago, IL?
Where EPA SDWA compliance data includes lead and copper rule monitoring, violations, or enforcement actions, that information feeds into the Operational Stress component of the MISI score. Munimetric does not fabricate lead pipe data where public records are silent.
Does Munimetric include PFAS monitoring context for Chicago, IL?
Where stored public records include UCMR or contaminant-monitoring summaries, Munimetric displays PFAS monitoring context as public-record evidence. Missing PFAS summaries are treated as missing records, not as non-detections. This context does not change MISI by itself.
What source-water context is available for Chicago, IL?
Munimetric displays stored source-water and supply context where public drinking-water identity records are available. Source-water context helps explain treatment and supply exposure, but missing source records remain explicit rather than inferred.
Why might water rates be increasing in Chicago, IL?
Rate pressure can reflect capital investment needs, a declining customer base, revenue fragility, affordability constraints, or parent-government fiscal stress. The Rate Constraint and Revenue Fragility score families specifically measure these pressures where data is available from public financial disclosures.
What does the MISI score mean for Chicago, IL?
The MISI score (46.1/100) is a composite measure of structural risk across five families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. The headline remains a blended structural stress composite rather than a pure physical-condition index. The current methodology also downweights factors that are nearly universal or very rare in the frozen national reference population, so one common contextual factor does not dominate the headline by itself. Higher scores indicate more structural stress. It is deterministic and source-backed, not a credit rating.