Munimetric Water System Profile

Kinston, NC

Drinking Water Infrastructure Profile

Munimetric analysis of drinking water infrastructure in Kinston, NC, North Carolina, including MISI stress score, active signals, and peer-relative monitoring context. This profile highlights what is happening and why it matters using water-system, fiscal, capital, and signal context.

Kinston, NC has a MISI infrastructure stress score of 42.6/100 in the Fragile band as of 2026-05-19. Public records show surface-water sourcing, PFAS monitoring context, lead and copper compliance context and approximately 20,500 residents served. Updated May 2026.

FragileScore date May 19, 2026Methodology v0.1.2

State context

Current market shown in covered state context. Tile size reflects population served; color reflects stress band.

42.6Headline composite
FragileBand
76%Confidence
~21KPop. served
P96Peer percentile
15Active signals

Current headline composite

Component of current headline composite

Infrastructure Stress33.4 / 100

Physical, compliance, and capital-execution pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Socioeconomic Stress9.2 / 100

Affordability, demand-base, and parent-government fiscal pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Observability Stress0.0 / 100

Staleness, disclosure freshness, and reporting-visibility effects reflected in the blended headline composite.

42.6/100 headline compositeFragile76% confidencedrinking_water::community_water_system::under_25k::surface_water~21K people served

Track

Kinston, NC Infrastructure Track

Portfolio posture across schedule and budget risk. · 2 active projects.

Market scope
Total capital$11M
On-time rate
50%
Budget risk
58%
Delayed50%
Sch. variance140d

Funding mix

2 projectsTracked capital: $11,184,756

  • Funding mix unavailable

Monitoring context stored

Water Quality & Supply Context

Public-record context for this system. Stored monitoring and compliance records only. Does not change MISI.

Public records
Records presentNCPWSID NC0524001.
Recent violations
0 recordsNo recent categories listed.
Enforcement records
0 recordsNo stored enforcement rows.
PFAS monitoring records
1 detection8.50 ng/LStored PFAS monitoring records list 2 samples and 1 detection.
Lead/copper monitoring records
Records stored2 samplesStored lead/copper records list 0 open LCR violations and 0 action-level records.
Source / supply context
Surface waterIdentity20,500 served; Mar 1, 2026.

Executive context

What the Data Suggests

As a community water provider for roughly 20,500 residents, Kinston, NC falls into the smaller tier of scored systems. The current reading places the system in a zone of moderate-to-elevated stress that goes beyond normal operating variation.

The score is being driven mainly by Capex Pressure, which is at the top of its range in the model, with Operational Stress adding further pressure. In other words, Capex Pressure is doing most of the heavy lifting in the headline score.

10 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 3 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.

Within Community · < 25k · Surface, this system ranks around the 96th percentile on measured stress, placing it near the top of peer-group stress.

Recent observations suggest the system has been relatively steady rather than sharply improving or deteriorating — the current picture looks more like persistent underlying pressure than a sudden shift.

This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.

Analytical posture

Market Stress Analytics

Family Contribution

MISI family contributions for this market.

Capex PressureCapex Pressure: 20.0 / 20.020.0Operational StressOperational Stress: 9.4 / 20.09.4Governance RiskGovernance Risk: 9.2 / 20.09.2Revenue FragilityRevenue Fragility: 4.0 / 20.04.0Rate ConstraintRate Constraint: 0.0 / 20.00.0

Peer Position

Where Kinston sits within its peer cohort.

0%25%50%75%100%42.6drinking_water::community_water_system::under_25k::surface_water · 3379 systems · 96th percentileLess stressMore stress
Income ErosionIncome Erosion: 14.3% weight — Income-erosion scoring is unavailable because the latest support metric snapshot does not yet include usable income trend inputs. 14.3%Compliance EscalationCompliance Escalation: 8.6% weight — Available 8.6%Infrastructure Capit…Infrastructure Capital Gap: 8.6% weight — Available 8.6%Population Served De…Population Served Decline: 7.1% weight — Population-served trend is unavailable because the latest support metric snapshot is missing or incomplete. 7.1%Housing Market Weakn…Housing Market Weakness: 7.1% weight — Housing-market weakness is unavailable because the latest support metric snapshot is missing or incomplete. 7.1%Parent-Government Fi…Parent-Government Fiscal Stress: 7.1% weight — Available 7.1%Monitoring / Reporti…Monitoring / Reporting Failures: 5.7% weight — Available 5.7%Climate Hazard Expos…Climate Hazard Exposure: 5.7% weight — Available 5.7%Lead & Copper Rule R…Lead & Copper Rule Risk: 5.7% weight — Available 5.7%PFAS Contamination R…PFAS Contamination Risk: 5.7% weight — Available 5.7%SRF Dependence SpikeSRF Dependence Spike: 5.7% weight — Available 5.7%Days Cash on HandDays Cash on Hand: 5.7% weight — Available 5.7%Utility Data StalenessUtility Data Staleness: 4.3% weight — No attached local disclosure documents are available for freshness scoring. 4.3%High-AGI Out-MigrationHigh-AGI Out-Migration: 2.9% weight — Available 2.9%Formal Enforcement O…Formal Enforcement Obligations: 2.9% weight — Available 2.9%Rapid Score Deterior…Rapid Score Deterioration: 2.9% weight — Available 2.9%
AvailableMissing

Score History

Latest

42.6

Trend

+35.6

Observations

50

Mar 12, 2026 · 7.0Mar 13, 2026 · 7.0Mar 13, 2026 · 7.0Mar 16, 2026 · 7.0Mar 18, 2026 · 7.0Mar 20, 2026 · 7.0Mar 21, 2026 · 7.0Mar 22, 2026 · 7.0Mar 24, 2026 · 7.0Mar 25, 2026 · 7.0Mar 27, 2026 · 7.0Mar 29, 2026 · 7.0Apr 2, 2026 · 19.0Apr 3, 2026 · 19.0Apr 3, 2026 · 19.0Apr 4, 2026 · 19.0Apr 5, 2026 · 25.0Apr 5, 2026 · 25.0Apr 6, 2026 · 41.0Apr 7, 2026 · 41.0Apr 8, 2026 · 41.0Apr 9, 2026 · 41.0Apr 10, 2026 · 41.0Apr 13, 2026 · 41.0Apr 14, 2026 · 41.0Apr 18, 2026 · 41.0Apr 19, 2026 · 41.0Apr 21, 2026 · 41.0Apr 22, 2026 · 41.0Apr 23, 2026 · 41.0Apr 24, 2026 · 41.0Apr 25, 2026 · 41.0Apr 26, 2026 · 38.7Apr 26, 2026 · 41.0Apr 27, 2026 · 38.7Apr 28, 2026 · 38.7Apr 29, 2026 · 38.7Apr 30, 2026 · 38.7May 1, 2026 · 42.6May 2, 2026 · 42.6May 3, 2026 · 42.6May 4, 2026 · 42.6May 5, 2026 · 42.6May 6, 2026 · 42.6May 7, 2026 · 42.6May 8, 2026 · 42.6May 9, 2026 · 42.6May 10, 2026 · 42.6May 17, 2026 · 42.6May 19, 2026 · 42.6Mar 12, 2026May 19, 2026

Structural Indicators

Operational Stress9.4 / 20.0

Operational Stress totals 9.355 points, led by climate hazard exposure.

Capex Pressure20.0 / 20.0

Capex Pressure totals 20.000 points, led by infrastructure capital gap.

Revenue Fragility4.0 / 20.0

Revenue Fragility totals 4.044 points, led by days cash on hand.

Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0

Rate Constraint totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Governance Risk9.2 / 20.0

Governance Risk totals 9.157 points, led by parent-government fiscal stress.

Stress movement

Diagnostics

Diagnostics & Movement

Compact status for confidence, data coverage, disclosure freshness, and stored score movement. Detailed diagnostic history remains available below.

Confidence

76%

Confidence is mainly capped by missing factor coverage.

Factor coverage

Complete

All tracked confidence factors are currently available.

Disclosure freshness

Not available

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date. Some profile sections are selectively summarized because confidence is currently medium.

Latest movement

flat 0.0

Compared with May 17, 2026.

Last material movement

+3.9

Recorded May 1, 2026.

History

50 observations stored

Latest stored observation May 19, 2026.

Show detailed diagnostic history

Expanded stress diagnostics

Open detailed contribution diagnostics

No detailed factor diagnostics are stored for this profile snapshot.

Confidence summary

Confidence is mainly capped by missing factor coverage.

Missing factor coverage

No factor gaps are recorded on the latest stored score.

Disclosure freshness diagnostics

0 attached local documents · 0 structured facts

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date. Some profile sections are selectively summarized because confidence is currently medium.

Latest reference Not available · stale after Not available

Score movement

flat 0.0

Previous run May 17, 2026

May 19, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 17, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 10, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 9, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 8, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 7, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 6, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 5, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 4, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 3, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 2, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 1, 2026

Score 42.6 in band fragile. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 3.9

Apr 30, 2026

Score 38.7 in band watch. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 29, 2026

Score 38.7 in band watch. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 28, 2026

Score 38.7 in band watch. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 27, 2026

Score 38.7 in band watch. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 26, 2026

Score 38.7 in band watch. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run -2.3

Apr 26, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 25, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 24, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 23, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 22, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 21, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 19, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 18, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 14, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 13, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 10, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 9, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 8, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 7, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 6, 2026

Score 41.0 in band fragile. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 16.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 25.0 in band watch. Confidence 86%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 25.0 in band watch. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 6.0

Apr 4, 2026

Score 19.0 in band stable. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 19.0 in band stable. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 19.0 in band stable. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 2, 2026

Score 19.0 in band stable. Confidence 98%.

Delta vs prior run 12.0

Mar 29, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 85%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 27, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 84%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 25, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 84%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 24, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 22, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 21, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 20, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 18, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 16, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 13, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 77%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 13, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 71%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 12, 2026

Score 7.0 in band stable. Confidence 71%.

Signals

Signal Timeline

MaterialactiveNot availableRank #1

Signal
Days Cash on Hand
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #2

Signal
SRF Dependence Spike
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #3

Signal
lead copper rule risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
EmergingactiveNot availableRank #4

Signal
pfas contamination risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #5

Signal
current drought severity
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #6

Signal
climate hazard exposure
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialresolvedNot availableRank #7

Signal
pfas contamination risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #8

Signal
current drought severity
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
MaterialresolvedNot availableRank #9

Signal
climate hazard exposure
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #10

Signal
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #11

Signal
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
EmergingresolvedNot availableRank #12

Signal
Population Served Decline
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
May 1, 2026
EmergingresolvedNot availableRank #13

Signal
Compliance Escalation
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
May 1, 2026
EmergingactiveNot availableRank #14

Signal
Population Served Decline
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
EmergingactiveNot availableRank #15

Signal
Compliance Escalation
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active

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About Kinston, NC

Kinston, NC is a community drinking-water system in North Carolina that Munimetric monitors for infrastructure stress. The current MISI score of 42.6 out of 100 places this system in the fragile stress band as of 2026-05-19. The MISI composite reflects five structural risk families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. Higher scores indicate more structural stress.

Data is assembled from EPA SDWA compliance records, American Community Survey demographic and economic indicators, FEMA National Risk Index hazard exposure data, state-reported financial disclosures, and stored public-record water quality context where available. This system serves approximately 20,500 people. Munimetric does not fabricate data where public records are unavailable. This profile is for structural monitoring and research—not a current-condition determination or credit rating. Updated May 2026.

What is the Munimetric score for Kinston, NC?
The current Munimetric Infrastructure Stress Index (MISI) score for Kinston, NC is 42.6 out of 100, placing this system in the fragile stress band. MISI is a composite of five structural risk families. Higher values indicate more stress. The score is deterministic, source-backed, and updated as new data becomes available.
Does Kinston, NC show signs of drinking-water infrastructure stress?
Munimetric monitors structural stress indicators for Kinston, NC across operational conditions, capital needs, revenue stability, rate affordability, and governance quality. The current MISI score and active signals shown in this profile reflect the latest available evidence from EPA, ACS, FEMA NRI, and state financial disclosures.
Does Munimetric rate current tap-water conditions for Kinston, NC?
No. Munimetric is not a water testing service and does not make current-condition determinations. This profile tracks structural conditions: compliance posture, financial pressure, infrastructure stress, and governance quality. For current water quality testing results, consult the system's Consumer Confidence Report or contact the local water utility.
Has Kinston, NC had a boil water advisory?
Munimetric does not track real-time boil water advisories. For current advisory status, contact your local water utility or state drinking water program. This profile tracks structural risk indicators and compliance history that provide long-term context around system reliability.
Are lead pipes or corrosion risk a concern in Kinston, NC?
Where EPA SDWA compliance data includes lead and copper rule monitoring, violations, or enforcement actions, that information feeds into the Operational Stress component of the MISI score. Munimetric does not fabricate lead pipe data where public records are silent.
Does Munimetric include PFAS monitoring context for Kinston, NC?
Where stored public records include UCMR or contaminant-monitoring summaries, Munimetric displays PFAS monitoring context as public-record evidence. Missing PFAS summaries are treated as missing records, not as non-detections. This context does not change MISI by itself.
What source-water context is available for Kinston, NC?
Munimetric displays stored source-water and supply context where public drinking-water identity records are available. Source-water context helps explain treatment and supply exposure, but missing source records remain explicit rather than inferred.
Why might water rates be increasing in Kinston, NC?
Rate pressure can reflect capital investment needs, a declining customer base, revenue fragility, affordability constraints, or parent-government fiscal stress. The Rate Constraint and Revenue Fragility score families specifically measure these pressures where data is available from public financial disclosures.
What does the MISI score mean for Kinston, NC?
The MISI score (42.6/100) is a composite measure of structural risk across five families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. The headline remains a blended structural stress composite rather than a pure physical-condition index. The current methodology also downweights factors that are nearly universal or very rare in the frozen national reference population, so one common contextual factor does not dominate the headline by itself. Higher scores indicate more structural stress. It is deterministic and source-backed, not a credit rating.