Munimetric Water System Profile

Providence-City of, RI

Drinking Water Infrastructure Profile

Munimetric analysis of drinking water infrastructure in Providence-City of, RI, Rhode Island, including MISI stress score, active signals, and peer-relative monitoring context. This profile highlights what is happening and why it matters using water-system, fiscal, capital, and signal context.

Providence-City of, RI has a MISI infrastructure stress score of 38.3/100 in the Watch band as of 2026-05-19. Public records show surface-water sourcing, PFAS monitoring context, lead and copper compliance context and approximately 333,142 residents served. Updated May 2026.

WatchScore date May 19, 2026Methodology v0.1.2

State context

Current market shown in covered state context. Tile size reflects population served; color reflects stress band.

38.3Headline composite
WatchBand
97%Confidence
~333KPop. served
P69Peer percentile
9Active signals

Current headline composite

Component of current headline composite

Infrastructure Stress34.3 / 100

Physical, compliance, and capital-execution pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Socioeconomic Stress4.0 / 100

Affordability, demand-base, and parent-government fiscal pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Observability Stress0.0 / 100

Staleness, disclosure freshness, and reporting-visibility effects reflected in the blended headline composite.

38.3/100 headline compositeWatch97% confidencedrinking_water::community_water_system::250k_plus::surface_water~333K people served

Track

Providence-City of, RI Infrastructure Track

Portfolio posture across schedule and budget risk. · 2 active projects.

Market scope
Total capital$53M
On-time rate
100%
Budget risk
30%
Delayed0%
Sch. variance0d

Funding mix

2 projectsTracked capital: $52,600,000

  • Funding mix unavailable

Monitoring context stored

Water Quality & Supply Context

Public-record context for this system. Stored monitoring and compliance records only. Does not change MISI.

Public records
Records presentRIPWSID RI1592024.
Recent violations
20 records4 MRInterim and Long Term 1 Enhanced Surface Water Treatment Rule, Stage 1 Disinfectants and Disinfection Byproducts Rule +3
Enforcement records
102 recordsStored public enforcement rows.
PFAS monitoring records
No listed detectionsUCMRStored PFAS monitoring records list 120 samples and 0 detections.
Lead/copper monitoring records
Records stored50 samplesStored lead/copper records list 0 open LCR violations and 0 action-level records.
Source / supply context
Surface waterIdentity333,142 served; Dec 31, 2025.

Executive context

What the Data Suggests

Providence-City of, RI's public water system serves roughly 333,142 residents, placing it among the larger community systems in this coverage set. At the latest reading, Munimetric flags the system as showing early but meaningful signs of structural stress.

The score is being driven mainly by Capex Pressure, which is at the top of its range in the model, with Operational Stress adding another heavy layer of pressure. That combination suggests strain is showing up across core system functions, not just one isolated dimension.

6 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 4 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.

Within Community · 250k+ · Surface, this system ranks around the 69th percentile on measured stress, placing it above most of its peers on measured stress, though not yet in the most extreme tier.

Recent score history has been relatively steady, consistent with the system's overall profile.

This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.

Analytical posture

Market Stress Analytics

Family Contribution

MISI family contributions for this market.

Capex PressureCapex Pressure: 19.2 / 20.019.2Operational StressOperational Stress: 15.1 / 20.015.1Revenue FragilityRevenue Fragility: 4.0 / 20.04.0Rate ConstraintRate Constraint: 0.0 / 20.00.0Governance RiskGovernance Risk: 0.0 / 20.00.0

Peer Position

Where Providence-City of sits within its peer cohort.

0%25%50%75%100%38.3drinking_water::community_water_system::250k_plus::surface_water · 157 systems · 69th percentileLess stressMore stress
Income ErosionIncome Erosion: 15.2% weight — Available 15.2%Compliance EscalationCompliance Escalation: 9.1% weight — Available 9.1%Infrastructure Capit…Infrastructure Capital Gap: 9.1% weight — Available 9.1%Population Served De…Population Served Decline: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Housing Market Weakn…Housing Market Weakness: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Parent-Government Fi…Parent-Government Fiscal Stress: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Monitoring / Reporti…Monitoring / Reporting Failures: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Climate Hazard Expos…Climate Hazard Exposure: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Lead & Copper Rule R…Lead & Copper Rule Risk: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%PFAS Contamination R…PFAS Contamination Risk: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%SRF Dependence SpikeSRF Dependence Spike: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Utility Data StalenessUtility Data Staleness: 4.5% weight — Available 4.5%High-AGI Out-MigrationHigh-AGI Out-Migration: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%Formal Enforcement O…Formal Enforcement Obligations: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%Rapid Score Deterior…Rapid Score Deterioration: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%
AvailableMissing

Score History

Latest

38.3

Trend

+32.3

Observations

45

Mar 18, 2026 · 6.0Mar 20, 2026 · 6.0Mar 21, 2026 · 6.0Mar 22, 2026 · 6.0Mar 24, 2026 · 6.0Mar 25, 2026 · 18.0Mar 29, 2026 · 18.0Apr 2, 2026 · 18.0Apr 3, 2026 · 18.0Apr 3, 2026 · 18.0Apr 4, 2026 · 18.0Apr 5, 2026 · 18.0Apr 5, 2026 · 18.0Apr 6, 2026 · 38.0Apr 7, 2026 · 38.0Apr 8, 2026 · 38.0Apr 9, 2026 · 38.0Apr 10, 2026 · 38.0Apr 13, 2026 · 38.0Apr 14, 2026 · 38.0Apr 18, 2026 · 38.0Apr 19, 2026 · 38.0Apr 21, 2026 · 38.0Apr 22, 2026 · 38.0Apr 23, 2026 · 38.0Apr 24, 2026 · 38.0Apr 25, 2026 · 38.0Apr 26, 2026 · 36.4Apr 26, 2026 · 38.0Apr 27, 2026 · 36.4Apr 28, 2026 · 36.4Apr 29, 2026 · 36.4Apr 30, 2026 · 36.4May 1, 2026 · 36.4May 2, 2026 · 36.4May 3, 2026 · 36.4May 4, 2026 · 36.4May 5, 2026 · 36.4May 6, 2026 · 36.4May 7, 2026 · 36.4May 8, 2026 · 38.3May 9, 2026 · 38.3May 10, 2026 · 38.3May 17, 2026 · 38.3May 19, 2026 · 38.3Mar 18, 2026May 19, 2026

Structural Indicators

Operational Stress15.1 / 20.0

Operational Stress totals 15.105 points, led by climate hazard exposure.

Capex Pressure19.2 / 20.0

Capex Pressure totals 19.232 points, led by infrastructure capital gap.

Revenue Fragility4.0 / 20.0

Revenue Fragility totals 3.994 points, led by high-agi out-migration.

Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0

Rate Constraint totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Governance Risk0.0 / 20.0

Governance Risk totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Stress movement

Diagnostics

Diagnostics & Movement

Compact status for confidence, data coverage, disclosure freshness, and stored score movement. Detailed diagnostic history remains available below.

Confidence

97%

Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.

Factor coverage

Complete

All tracked confidence factors are currently available.

Disclosure freshness

Not available

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date.

Latest movement

flat 0.0

Compared with May 17, 2026.

Last material movement

+2.0

Recorded May 8, 2026.

History

45 observations stored

Latest stored observation May 19, 2026.

Show detailed diagnostic history

Expanded stress diagnostics

Open detailed contribution diagnostics

No detailed factor diagnostics are stored for this profile snapshot.

Confidence summary

Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.

Missing factor coverage

No factor gaps are recorded on the latest stored score.

Disclosure freshness diagnostics

0 attached local documents · 0 structured facts

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date.

Latest reference Not available · stale after Not available

Score movement

flat 0.0

Previous run May 17, 2026

May 19, 2026

Score 38.3 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 17, 2026

Score 38.3 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 10, 2026

Score 38.3 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 9, 2026

Score 38.3 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 8, 2026

Score 38.3 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 2.0

May 7, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 6, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 5, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 4, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 3, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 2, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 1, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 30, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 29, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 28, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 27, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 26, 2026

Score 36.4 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run -1.6

Apr 26, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 25, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 24, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 23, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 22, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 21, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 19, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 18, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 14, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 13, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 10, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 9, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 8, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 7, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 6, 2026

Score 38.0 in band watch. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 20.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 84%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 4, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 2, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 97%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 29, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 86%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 25, 2026

Score 18.0 in band stable. Confidence 86%.

Delta vs prior run 12.0

Mar 24, 2026

Score 6.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 22, 2026

Score 6.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 21, 2026

Score 6.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 20, 2026

Score 6.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 18, 2026

Score 6.0 in band stable. Confidence 79%.

Signals

Signal Timeline

MaterialactiveNot availableRank #1

Signal
current drought severity
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #2

Signal
high agi outmigration
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #3

Signal
lead copper rule risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #4

Signal
climate hazard exposure
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #5

Signal
high agi outmigration
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #6

Signal
lead copper rule risk
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantresolvedNot availableRank #7

Signal
climate hazard exposure
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026
SignificantactiveNot availableRank #8

Signal
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialactiveNot availableRank #9

Signal
Compliance Escalation
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active

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About Providence-City of, RI

Providence-City of, RI is a community drinking-water system in Rhode Island that Munimetric monitors for infrastructure stress. The current MISI score of 38.3 out of 100 places this system in the watch stress band as of 2026-05-19. The MISI composite reflects five structural risk families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. Higher scores indicate more structural stress.

Data is assembled from EPA SDWA compliance records, American Community Survey demographic and economic indicators, FEMA National Risk Index hazard exposure data, state-reported financial disclosures, and stored public-record water quality context where available. This system serves approximately 333,142 people. The system has 20 recorded compliance violations in the SDWA record. Munimetric does not fabricate data where public records are unavailable. This profile is for structural monitoring and research—not a current-condition determination or credit rating. Updated May 2026.

What is the Munimetric score for Providence-City of, RI?
The current Munimetric Infrastructure Stress Index (MISI) score for Providence-City of, RI is 38.3 out of 100, placing this system in the watch stress band. MISI is a composite of five structural risk families. Higher values indicate more stress. The score is deterministic, source-backed, and updated as new data becomes available.
Does Providence-City of, RI show signs of drinking-water infrastructure stress?
Munimetric monitors structural stress indicators for Providence-City of, RI across operational conditions, capital needs, revenue stability, rate affordability, and governance quality. The current MISI score and active signals shown in this profile reflect the latest available evidence from EPA, ACS, FEMA NRI, and state financial disclosures.
Does Munimetric rate current tap-water conditions for Providence-City of, RI?
No. Munimetric is not a water testing service and does not make current-condition determinations. This profile tracks structural conditions: compliance posture, financial pressure, infrastructure stress, and governance quality. For current water quality testing results, consult the system's Consumer Confidence Report or contact the local water utility.
Has Providence-City of, RI had a boil water advisory?
Munimetric does not track real-time boil water advisories. For current advisory status, contact your local water utility or state drinking water program. This profile tracks structural risk indicators and compliance history that provide long-term context around system reliability.
Are lead pipes or corrosion risk a concern in Providence-City of, RI?
Where EPA SDWA compliance data includes lead and copper rule monitoring, violations, or enforcement actions, that information feeds into the Operational Stress component of the MISI score. Munimetric does not fabricate lead pipe data where public records are silent.
Does Munimetric include PFAS monitoring context for Providence-City of, RI?
Where stored public records include UCMR or contaminant-monitoring summaries, Munimetric displays PFAS monitoring context as public-record evidence. Missing PFAS summaries are treated as missing records, not as non-detections. This context does not change MISI by itself.
What source-water context is available for Providence-City of, RI?
Munimetric displays stored source-water and supply context where public drinking-water identity records are available. Source-water context helps explain treatment and supply exposure, but missing source records remain explicit rather than inferred.
Why might water rates be increasing in Providence-City of, RI?
Rate pressure can reflect capital investment needs, a declining customer base, revenue fragility, affordability constraints, or parent-government fiscal stress. The Rate Constraint and Revenue Fragility score families specifically measure these pressures where data is available from public financial disclosures.
What does the MISI score mean for Providence-City of, RI?
The MISI score (38.3/100) is a composite measure of structural risk across five families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. The headline remains a blended structural stress composite rather than a pure physical-condition index. The current methodology also downweights factors that are nearly universal or very rare in the frozen national reference population, so one common contextual factor does not dominate the headline by itself. Higher scores indicate more structural stress. It is deterministic and source-backed, not a credit rating.