MISI Score
33.0
Watch
Project NC / Harnett County
Dunn
BOTH · Harnett CountyPWSID NC0343010
Score Confidence
1.0%
Peer Percentile
79.0th
As of
Jun 2, 2026
EXPLANATION
Score Drivers
- MISI score is 33.001 (Watch).
- Infrastructure Capital Gap adds 11.238 points. Capex pressure contributes +12: drinking-water capital need is 71480729.960325 with per-capita burden 5745.12. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 12 to 11.238.
- Parent-Government Fiscal Stress adds 6.410 points. Governance Risk contributes +7: parent-government flags=['debt_service_ratio>=14', 'revenue_growth<=0']. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 7 to 6.410.
- PFAS Contamination Risk adds 5.998 points. PFAS contamination contributes +6: detections=32, max result=0.022400 ng/L. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 6 to 5.998.
- Climate Hazard Exposure adds 5.398 points. Operational climate hazard exposure contributes +6: FEMA NRI composite score is 75.2900. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 6 to 5.398.
MARKET INTERPRETATION
What the data suggests
As a community water provider for roughly 12,442 residents, Dunn falls into the smaller tier of scored systems. At the latest reading, Munimetric flags the system as showing early but meaningful signs of structural stress.
The score is being driven mainly by Capex Pressure, which is running high in the model, with Operational Stress adding further pressure. In other words, Capex Pressure is doing most of the heavy lifting in the headline score.
5 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 2 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.
Within its peer cohort, this system ranks around the 79th percentile on measured stress, placing it above most of its peers on measured stress, though not yet in the most extreme tier.
Recent score history has been relatively steady, consistent with the system's overall profile.
This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.
SCORE STACK
Family Contributions
Operational Stress9.4 / 20.0
Capex Pressure17.2 / 20.0
Revenue Fragility0.0 / 20.0
Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0
Governance Risk6.4 / 20.0
SL 2020-79
SWIA Assessment History
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
ACTIVE SIGNALS
5 Signals
Infrastructure Capital Gap
Large structural capital need relative to local support capacity often precedes major rate or funding pressure.
Score impact: 11.2 · Family: Capex Pressure
Parent-Government Fiscal Stress
Parent-government debt, pension, or operating stress can constrain infrastructure support and governance flexibility.
Score impact: 6.4 · Family: Governance Risk
Climate Hazard Exposure
Elevated drought and flood exposure raises outage, source-water, and infrastructure reliability stress.
Score impact: 5.4 · Family: Operational Stress
PFAS Contamination Risk
PFAS detections can force expensive treatment retrofits and accelerate capital plans.
Score impact: 6.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
Current Drought Severity
Active drought conditions stress source-water availability and treatment operations.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Operational Stress
HISTORY
Score Trend
Latest
33.0
Trend
+33.0
Observations
50
NC TREASURER FBA
Financial Benchmarks
Population8,606
General Fund Expenditure$13.1M
Fund Balance Available$4.3M
Fund Balance %32.8%
Cash & Investments$11.6M
Assessed Valuation$1135.6M
Tax Rate0.5
Effective Tax Rate0.4
Tax Collection %99.1%
Amount Uncollected$52K
Days Cash on Hand
193
Days Cash As Of
Jun 30, 2024
Population Served
12,442