MISI Score
44.0
Fragile
Project NC / Pitt County
NA · Pitt CountyPWSID NC0474010
MISI Score
44.0
Fragile
Score Confidence
0.9%
Peer Percentile
87.5th
As of
Apr 23, 2026
EXPLANATION
MARKET INTERPRETATION
Greenville's drinking-water system serves about 103,140 residents, making it a mid-size system within the coverage universe. The current reading places the system in a zone of moderate-to-elevated stress that goes beyond normal operating variation.
The score is being driven mainly by Operational Stress, which is at the top of its range in the model, with Capex Pressure adding another heavy layer of pressure. That combination suggests strain is showing up across core system functions, not just one isolated dimension.
8 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 4 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.
Within its peer cohort, this system ranks around the 88th percentile on measured stress, placing it among the more stressed systems in its peer group.
Recent observations suggest the system has been relatively steady rather than sharply improving or deteriorating — the current picture looks more like persistent underlying pressure than a sudden shift.
This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.
SCORE STACK
SL 2020-79
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — |
ACTIVE SIGNALS
Repeated or serious compliance failures often indicate rising operational and infrastructure stress.
Score impact: 10.0 · Family: Operational Stress
Recurring monitoring or reporting failures often signal weak administrative capacity or deteriorating operational discipline.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Operational Stress
Large structural capital need relative to local support capacity often precedes major rate or funding pressure.
Score impact: 8.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
Elevated drought and flood exposure raises outage, source-water, and infrastructure reliability stress.
Score impact: 6.0 · Family: Operational Stress
Active drought conditions stress source-water availability and treatment operations.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Operational Stress
Lead and copper exceedances and replacement obligations can drive near-term treatment and capital pressure.
Score impact: 8.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
HISTORY
Latest
44.0
Trend
+22.0
Observations
20
NC TREASURER FBA
Population Served
103,140
PFAS detections can force expensive treatment retrofits and accelerate capital plans.
Score impact: 6.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
High-AGI outmigration erodes the rate base and compresses affordability headroom.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Revenue Fragility