Project NC / Cleveland County

Lawndale

BOTH · Cleveland CountyDistressedPWSID NC0123045

MISI Score

20.0

Stable

Score Confidence

0.8%

Peer Percentile

46.1th

As of

Jun 2, 2026

EXPLANATION

Score Drivers

  • MISI score is 19.955 (Stable).
  • Days Cash on Hand adds 6.470 points. Days-cash contributes +8: current days cash on hand is 19.150 days from connector-sourced ws_days_cash (as of 2024-06-30). variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 8 to 6.470.
  • Compliance Escalation adds 5.929 points. Operational compliance contributes +6: 4 violations or enforcement actions have been recorded within the last three years. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 6.000000 to 5.929.
  • Current Drought Severity adds 3.957 points. Current drought severity contributes +4: USDM severity index is 0.5000 as of 2026-05-26. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 4 to 3.957.
  • Climate Hazard Exposure adds 3.599 points. Operational climate hazard exposure contributes +4: FEMA NRI composite score is 70.0100. variance weighting adjusted headline contribution from 4 to 3.599.
  • Missing or unresolved factors: Infrastructure Capital Gap, PFAS Contamination Risk, Project Status Staleness.

MARKET INTERPRETATION

What the data suggests

Lawndale is a smaller community water system, serving approximately 660 residents. At the latest reading, the system shows limited signs of structural stress.

The score is being driven mainly by Operational Stress, which is running high in the model, with Revenue Fragility contributing at a lower level. In other words, Operational Stress is doing most of the heavy lifting in the headline score.

4 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 2 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.

Within its peer cohort, this system ranks around the 46th percentile on measured stress, placing it near the middle of the peer group on measured stress.

Recent score history has been relatively steady, consistent with the system's overall profile.

This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.

SCORE STACK

Family Contributions

Operational Stress13.5 / 20.0
Capex Pressure0.0 / 20.0
Revenue Fragility6.5 / 20.0
Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0
Governance Risk0.0 / 20.0

SL 2020-79

SWIA Assessment History

20242023202220212019
8121389

ACTIVE SIGNALS

4 Signals

SignificantactiveApr 2, 2026

Days Cash on Hand

Weak unrestricted liquidity reduces the utility's ability to absorb rate, capex, or operating shocks.

Score impact: 6.5 · Family: Revenue Fragility

MaterialactiveApr 3, 2026

Compliance Escalation

Repeated or serious compliance failures often indicate rising operational and infrastructure stress.

Score impact: 5.9 · Family: Operational Stress

MaterialactiveApr 7, 2026

Climate Hazard Exposure

Elevated drought and flood exposure raises outage, source-water, and infrastructure reliability stress.

Score impact: 3.6 · Family: Operational Stress

SignificantactiveApr 7, 2026

Current Drought Severity

Active drought conditions stress source-water availability and treatment operations.

Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Operational Stress

HISTORY

Score Trend

Latest

20.0

Trend

+20.0

Observations

48

Apr 1, 2026 · 0.0Apr 2, 2026 · 8.0Apr 2, 2026 · 8.0Apr 3, 2026 · 14.0Apr 3, 2026 · 14.0Apr 4, 2026 · 14.0Apr 5, 2026 · 14.0Apr 5, 2026 · 14.0Apr 6, 2026 · 21.0Apr 7, 2026 · 21.0Apr 8, 2026 · 21.0Apr 9, 2026 · 21.0Apr 10, 2026 · 22.0Apr 13, 2026 · 22.0Apr 14, 2026 · 22.0Apr 18, 2026 · 22.0Apr 19, 2026 · 22.0Apr 21, 2026 · 22.0Apr 22, 2026 · 22.0Apr 23, 2026 · 22.0Apr 24, 2026 · 22.0Apr 25, 2026 · 22.0Apr 26, 2026 · 22.0Apr 26, 2026 · 20.0Apr 27, 2026 · 20.0Apr 28, 2026 · 20.0Apr 29, 2026 · 20.0Apr 30, 2026 · 20.0May 1, 2026 · 20.0May 2, 2026 · 20.0May 3, 2026 · 20.0May 4, 2026 · 20.0May 5, 2026 · 20.0May 6, 2026 · 20.0May 7, 2026 · 20.0May 8, 2026 · 20.0May 9, 2026 · 20.0May 10, 2026 · 20.0May 17, 2026 · 20.0May 19, 2026 · 20.0May 21, 2026 · 20.0May 22, 2026 · 20.0May 24, 2026 · 20.0May 26, 2026 · 20.0May 28, 2026 · 20.0May 31, 2026 · 20.0Jun 1, 2026 · 20.0Jun 2, 2026 · 20.0Apr 1, 2026Jun 2, 2026

NC TREASURER FBA

Financial Benchmarks

Population570
General Fund Expenditure$863K
Fund Balance Available$35K
Fund Balance %4.0%
Cash & Investments$676K
Assessed Valuation$24.7M
Tax Rate0.3
Effective Tax Rate0.2
Tax Collection %95.0%
Amount Uncollected$4K

Days Cash on Hand

19

Days Cash As Of

Jun 30, 2024

Population Served

660