MISI Score
52.0
Fragile
Project NC / Robeson County
DW · Robeson CountyPWSID NC0378055
MISI Score
52.0
Fragile
Score Confidence
1.0%
Peer Percentile
100.0th
As of
Apr 23, 2026
EXPLANATION
MARKET INTERPRETATION
Robeson County's drinking-water system serves about 65,303 residents, making it a mid-size system within the coverage universe. The current reading places the system in a zone of moderate-to-elevated stress that goes beyond normal operating variation.
The score is being driven mainly by Capex Pressure, which is at the top of its range in the model, with Operational Stress adding further pressure. In other words, Capex Pressure is doing most of the heavy lifting in the headline score.
7 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 6 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.
Within its peer cohort, this system ranks around the 100th percentile on measured stress, placing it near the top of peer-group stress.
Recent observations suggest the system has been relatively steady rather than sharply improving or deteriorating — the current picture looks more like persistent underlying pressure than a sudden shift.
This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.
SCORE STACK
SL 2020-79
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
ACTIVE SIGNALS
High-AGI outmigration erodes the rate base and compresses affordability headroom.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Revenue Fragility
A shrinking served population weakens the customer base and raises infrastructure cost per customer.
Score impact: 6.0 · Family: Revenue Fragility
Large structural capital need relative to local support capacity often precedes major rate or funding pressure.
Score impact: 12.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
Parent-government debt, pension, or operating stress can constrain infrastructure support and governance flexibility.
Score impact: 10.0 · Family: Governance Risk
Elevated drought and flood exposure raises outage, source-water, and infrastructure reliability stress.
Score impact: 8.0 · Family: Operational Stress
Active drought conditions stress source-water availability and treatment operations.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Operational Stress
HISTORY
Latest
52.0
Trend
+46.0
Observations
21
Population Served
65,303
PFAS detections can force expensive treatment retrofits and accelerate capital plans.
Score impact: 8.0 · Family: Capex Pressure