MISI Score
30.0
Watch
Project NC / Warren County
BOTH · Warren CountyPWSID NC0293015
MISI Score
30.0
Watch
Score Confidence
0.9%
Peer Percentile
65.8th
As of
Apr 23, 2026
EXPLANATION
MARKET INTERPRETATION
Warren County is a smaller community water system, serving approximately 9,654 residents. At the latest reading, Munimetric flags the system as showing early but meaningful signs of structural stress.
The score is being driven mainly by Capex Pressure, which is at the top of its range in the model, with Operational Stress contributing at a lower level. In other words, Capex Pressure is doing most of the heavy lifting in the headline score.
5 active stress signals are attached to this system, including 2 at high severity. That signal mix points to a system where several warning indicators are firing at once, not just one extreme outlier.
Within its peer cohort, this system ranks around the 66th percentile on measured stress, placing it above most of its peers on measured stress, though not yet in the most extreme tier.
Recent score history has been relatively steady, consistent with the system's overall profile.
This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.
SCORE STACK
SL 2020-79
| 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
ACTIVE SIGNALS
A shrinking served population weakens the customer base and raises infrastructure cost per customer.
Score impact: 6.0 · Family: Revenue Fragility
Large structural capital need relative to local support capacity often precedes major rate or funding pressure.
Score impact: 12.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
Elevated drought and flood exposure raises outage, source-water, and infrastructure reliability stress.
Score impact: 2.0 · Family: Operational Stress
Active drought conditions stress source-water availability and treatment operations.
Score impact: 4.0 · Family: Operational Stress
PFAS detections can force expensive treatment retrofits and accelerate capital plans.
Score impact: 6.0 · Family: Capex Pressure
HISTORY
Latest
30.0
Trend
+20.0
Observations
21
Population Served
9,654