Munimetric Water System Profile

Town of Luray, VA

Drinking Water Infrastructure Profile

Town of Luray, VA, Virginia — Munimetric water system profile with MISI stress score, active compliance signals, infrastructure context, and fiscal pressure indicators. This profile highlights what is happening and why it matters using water-system, fiscal, capital, and signal context.

Town of Luray, VA has a MISI infrastructure stress score of 4.0/100 in the Stable band as of 2026-05-28. Public records show surface-water sourcing, PFAS monitoring context, lead and copper compliance context and approximately 4,794 residents served. Updated May 2026.

StableScore date May 28, 2026Methodology v0.1.2

State context

Current market shown in covered state context. Tile size reflects population served; color reflects stress band.

4.0Headline composite
StableBand
91%Confidence
~5KPop. served
P2Peer percentile
2Active signals

Current headline composite

Component of current headline composite

Infrastructure Stress4.0 / 100

Physical, compliance, and capital-execution pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Socioeconomic Stress0.0 / 100

Affordability, demand-base, and parent-government fiscal pressure reflected in the blended headline composite.

Observability Stress0.0 / 100

Staleness, disclosure freshness, and reporting-visibility effects reflected in the blended headline composite.

4.0/100 headline compositeStable91% confidencedrinking_water::community_water_system::under_25k::surface_water~5K people served

Monitoring context stored

Water Quality & Supply Context

Public-record context for this system. Stored monitoring and compliance records only. Does not change MISI.

Public records
Records presentVAPWSID VA2139330.
Recent violations
7 records1 MRRevised Total Coliform Rule, Total Coliform Rule
Enforcement records
24 recordsStored public enforcement rows.
PFAS monitoring records
No listed detectionsUCMRStored PFAS monitoring records list 240 samples and 0 detections.
Lead/copper monitoring records
Records stored14 samplesStored lead/copper records list 0 open LCR violations and 0 action-level records.
Source / supply context
Surface waterIdentity4,794 served; Dec 31, 2025.

Executive context

What the Data Suggests

Town of Luray, VA is a smaller community water system, serving approximately 4,794 residents. At the latest reading, the system shows limited signs of structural stress.

The score is being driven mainly by Operational Stress, with Capex Pressure contributing at a lower level. The pressure is distributed rather than concentrated in a single dimension.

One active stress signal is attached to this system, including one at high severity. The high-severity signal in particular bears watching alongside the headline score.

Within Community · < 25k · Surface, this system ranks around the 2nd percentile on measured stress, placing it among the least stressed in its peer group.

Recent score history has been relatively steady, consistent with the system's overall profile.

This summary is based on structured, source-backed public data and is intended for research and monitoring only. It is not investment advice, a credit opinion, or municipal advisory guidance.

Analytical posture

Market Stress Analytics

Family Contribution

MISI family contributions for this market.

Operational StressOperational Stress: 4.0 / 20.04.0Capex PressureCapex Pressure: 0.0 / 20.00.0Revenue FragilityRevenue Fragility: 0.0 / 20.00.0Rate ConstraintRate Constraint: 0.0 / 20.00.0Governance RiskGovernance Risk: 0.0 / 20.00.0

Peer Position

Where Town of Luray sits within its peer cohort.

0%25%50%75%100%4.0drinking_water::community_water_system::under_25k::surface_water · 3379 systems · 2th percentileLess stressMore stress
Income ErosionIncome Erosion: 15.2% weight — Available 15.2%Compliance EscalationCompliance Escalation: 9.1% weight — Available 9.1%Infrastructure Capit…Infrastructure Capital Gap: 9.1% weight — Missing 9.1%Population Served De…Population Served Decline: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Housing Market Weakn…Housing Market Weakness: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Parent-Government Fi…Parent-Government Fiscal Stress: 7.6% weight — Available 7.6%Monitoring / Reporti…Monitoring / Reporting Failures: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Climate Hazard Expos…Climate Hazard Exposure: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Lead & Copper Rule R…Lead & Copper Rule Risk: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%PFAS Contamination R…PFAS Contamination Risk: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%SRF Dependence SpikeSRF Dependence Spike: 6.1% weight — Available 6.1%Utility Data StalenessUtility Data Staleness: 4.5% weight — Available 4.5%High-AGI Out-MigrationHigh-AGI Out-Migration: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%Formal Enforcement O…Formal Enforcement Obligations: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%Rapid Score Deterior…Rapid Score Deterioration: 3.0% weight — Available 3.0%
AvailableMissing

Score History

Latest

4.0

Trend

+4.0

Observations

46

Mar 24, 2026 · 0.0Mar 25, 2026 · 0.0Mar 29, 2026 · 0.0Apr 2, 2026 · 0.0Apr 3, 2026 · 0.0Apr 3, 2026 · 0.0Apr 4, 2026 · 0.0Apr 5, 2026 · 0.0Apr 5, 2026 · 0.0Apr 6, 2026 · 2.0Apr 7, 2026 · 2.0Apr 8, 2026 · 2.0Apr 9, 2026 · 2.0Apr 10, 2026 · 3.0Apr 13, 2026 · 3.0Apr 14, 2026 · 3.0Apr 18, 2026 · 3.0Apr 19, 2026 · 3.0Apr 21, 2026 · 3.0Apr 22, 2026 · 3.0Apr 23, 2026 · 3.0Apr 24, 2026 · 3.0Apr 25, 2026 · 4.0Apr 26, 2026 · 4.0Apr 26, 2026 · 4.0Apr 27, 2026 · 4.0Apr 28, 2026 · 4.0Apr 29, 2026 · 4.0Apr 30, 2026 · 4.0May 1, 2026 · 4.0May 2, 2026 · 4.0May 3, 2026 · 4.0May 4, 2026 · 4.0May 5, 2026 · 4.0May 6, 2026 · 4.0May 7, 2026 · 4.0May 8, 2026 · 4.0May 9, 2026 · 4.0May 10, 2026 · 4.0May 17, 2026 · 4.0May 19, 2026 · 4.0May 21, 2026 · 4.0May 22, 2026 · 4.0May 24, 2026 · 4.0May 26, 2026 · 4.0May 28, 2026 · 4.0Mar 24, 2026May 28, 2026

Structural Indicators

Operational Stress4.0 / 20.0

Operational Stress totals 3.957 points, led by current drought severity.

Capex Pressure0.0 / 20.0

Capex Pressure totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Revenue Fragility0.0 / 20.0

Revenue Fragility totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Rate Constraint0.0 / 20.0

Rate Constraint totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Governance Risk0.0 / 20.0

Governance Risk totals 0.000 points with no triggered factors.

Stress movement

Diagnostics

Diagnostics & Movement

Compact status for confidence, data coverage, disclosure freshness, and stored score movement. Detailed diagnostic history remains available below.

Confidence

91%

Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.

Factor coverage

Complete

All tracked confidence factors are currently available.

Disclosure freshness

Not available

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date.

Latest movement

flat 0.0

Compared with May 26, 2026.

Last material movement

+1.0

Recorded Apr 25, 2026.

History

46 observations stored

Latest stored observation May 28, 2026.

Show detailed diagnostic history

Expanded stress diagnostics

Open detailed contribution diagnostics

No detailed factor diagnostics are stored for this profile snapshot.

Confidence summary

Confidence is mainly capped by document freshness.

Missing factor coverage

No factor gaps are recorded on the latest stored score.

Disclosure freshness diagnostics

0 attached local documents · 0 structured facts

No attached disclosure document has a usable reference date.

Latest reference Not available · stale after Not available

Score movement

flat 0.0

Previous run May 26, 2026

May 28, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 26, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 24, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 22, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 21, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 19, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 17, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 10, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 9, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 8, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 7, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 6, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 5, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 4, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 3, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 2, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

May 1, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 30, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 29, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 28, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 27, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 26, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run -0.0

Apr 26, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 25, 2026

Score 4.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 1.0

Apr 24, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 23, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 22, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 21, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 19, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 18, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 14, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 13, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 10, 2026

Score 3.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 1.0

Apr 9, 2026

Score 2.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 8, 2026

Score 2.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 7, 2026

Score 2.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 6, 2026

Score 2.0 in band stable. Confidence 91%.

Delta vs prior run 2.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 78%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 5, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 89%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 4, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 89%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 85%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 3, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 85%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Apr 2, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 85%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 29, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 25, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 76%.

Delta vs prior run 0.0

Mar 24, 2026

Score 0.0 in band stable. Confidence 76%.

Signals

Signal Timeline

SignificantactiveNot availableRank #1

Signal
current drought severity
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Active
MaterialresolvedNot availableRank #2

Signal
current drought severity
Score impact
Not available
Resolved
Apr 7, 2026

Keep monitoring this market

Briefs and research access cover repeat monitoring, saved work, alerts, and team review.

About Town of Luray, VA

Town of Luray, VA is a community drinking-water system in Virginia that Munimetric monitors for infrastructure stress. The current MISI score of 4.0 out of 100 places this system in the stable stress band as of 2026-05-28. The MISI composite reflects five structural risk families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. Higher scores indicate more structural stress.

Data is assembled from EPA SDWA compliance records, American Community Survey demographic and economic indicators, FEMA National Risk Index hazard exposure data, state-reported financial disclosures, and stored public-record water quality context where available. This system serves approximately 4,794 people. The system has 7 recorded compliance violations in the SDWA record. Munimetric does not fabricate data where public records are unavailable. This profile is for structural monitoring and research—not a current-condition determination or credit rating. Updated May 2026.

What is the Munimetric score for Town of Luray, VA?
The current Munimetric Infrastructure Stress Index (MISI) score for Town of Luray, VA is 4.0 out of 100, placing this system in the stable stress band. MISI is a composite of five structural risk families. Higher values indicate more stress. The score is deterministic, source-backed, and updated as new data becomes available.
Does Town of Luray, VA show signs of drinking-water infrastructure stress?
Munimetric monitors structural stress indicators for Town of Luray, VA across operational conditions, capital needs, revenue stability, rate affordability, and governance quality. The current MISI score and active signals shown in this profile reflect the latest available evidence from EPA, ACS, FEMA NRI, and state financial disclosures.
Does Munimetric rate current tap-water conditions for Town of Luray, VA?
No. Munimetric is not a water testing service and does not make current-condition determinations. This profile tracks structural conditions: compliance posture, financial pressure, infrastructure stress, and governance quality. For current water quality testing results, consult the system's Consumer Confidence Report or contact the local water utility.
Has Town of Luray, VA had a boil water advisory?
Munimetric does not track real-time boil water advisories. For current advisory status, contact your local water utility or state drinking water program. This profile tracks structural risk indicators and compliance history that provide long-term context around system reliability.
Are lead pipes or corrosion risk a concern in Town of Luray, VA?
Where EPA SDWA compliance data includes lead and copper rule monitoring, violations, or enforcement actions, that information feeds into the Operational Stress component of the MISI score. Munimetric does not fabricate lead pipe data where public records are silent.
Does Munimetric include PFAS monitoring context for Town of Luray, VA?
Where stored public records include UCMR or contaminant-monitoring summaries, Munimetric displays PFAS monitoring context as public-record evidence. Missing PFAS summaries are treated as missing records, not as non-detections. This context does not change MISI by itself.
What source-water context is available for Town of Luray, VA?
Munimetric displays stored source-water and supply context where public drinking-water identity records are available. Source-water context helps explain treatment and supply exposure, but missing source records remain explicit rather than inferred.
Why might water rates be increasing in Town of Luray, VA?
Rate pressure can reflect capital investment needs, a declining customer base, revenue fragility, affordability constraints, or parent-government fiscal stress. The Rate Constraint and Revenue Fragility score families specifically measure these pressures where data is available from public financial disclosures.
What does the MISI score mean for Town of Luray, VA?
The MISI score (4.0/100) is a composite measure of structural risk across five families: Operational Stress, Capex Pressure, Revenue Fragility, Rate Constraint, and Governance Risk. The headline remains a blended structural stress composite rather than a pure physical-condition index. The current methodology also downweights factors that are nearly universal or very rare in the frozen national reference population, so one common contextual factor does not dominate the headline by itself. Higher scores indicate more structural stress. It is deterministic and source-backed, not a credit rating.